empty
21.12.2023 01:12 PM
Forecast for EUR/USD on December 21, 2021

The EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, consolidating below the corrective level of 61.8% (1.0960). Thus, the downward process may continue toward the next Fibonacci level of 50.0% (1.0862). I support the scenario of further decline in the pair, as, judging by the waves, the trend seems to be shifting towards the "bearish" side. However, a firm hold above the level of 1.0960 will indicate that bulls are not ready to retreat fully and may attempt to resume growth towards the level of 1.1035.

This image is no longer relevant

The wave situation is becoming clearer and more favorable. The last downward wave turned out to be relatively weak (compared to the previous upward wave), and the current upward wave has every chance of not surpassing the peak of the previous wave (from December 14). If this scenario unfolds, we will have the first sign of completing the "bullish" trend. In this case, a decline towards the level of 1.0862 should begin, which may only be the start of a prolonged "bearish" trend. This is the scenario I am currently counting on.

On Wednesday, there were a few interesting events in the European Union and the United States. The only U.S. report on the number of new home sales showed a value slightly higher than traders expected for November. However, this report is unimportant, and traders' reactions were practically nonexistent. Thus, this week, I can highlight only two events. The first one is the inflation report in the European Union, which showed a final decrease in November to 2.4% y/y, and the U.S. GDP report for the third quarter, which will be released today in the second half of the day.

As with European inflation, the report on economic growth in the U.S. may not cause a strong reaction. This is not the first estimate of the indicator for the third quarter, and traders are prepared to see +5.2% q/q. If today's report shows a higher or lower value, then bulls or bears will receive minor support. But overall, this week's information background is quite weak, with important reports coming only from the United Kingdom. By the end of the week, trader activity may be relatively low, but I still expect a decline in the pair toward the level of 1.0862. This target already looks quite attractive.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair rose to the corrective level of 50.0% (1.0957). A firm consolidation of the pair's rate above this level allows counting on further growth towards the next Fibonacci level of 38.2% at 1.1032. Reconsolidation below 1.0957 will again favor the U.S. currency and a fall to the lower line of the ascending trend corridor, which still characterizes traders' sentiment as "bullish." I expect a significant decline in the euro only after consolidating below the ascending trend corridor. Still, even under the current circumstances, a decline towards the lower line of the corridor looks promising. There are no apparent divergences with any indicator today.

Forecast for EUR/USD and trader advice:

What advice can be given to traders today? The rise of the European currency is unlikely. The continuation of the "bullish" trend is also unlikely. The information background could be stronger; the economic events calendar for the EU and the U.S. is practically empty, and traders will find it difficult to find new reasons for buying. Thus, a resumption of the decline towards the level of 1.0862 is likely. A consolidation below the level of 1.0960 can be considered for selling the pair. I consider purchases today impractical and too risky."

Samir Klishi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

2025年7月2日至5日EUR/USD交易信號:在1.1840下方賣出(+1/8 Murray - 21 SMA)

歐元目前在1.1785附近交易,在觸及21 SMA支撐區域後反彈。我們認為,EUR/USD在接下來的幾小時內可能繼續上升,達到+1/8 Murray水準的1.1840。

Dimitrios Zappas 19:00 2025-07-02 UTC+2

2025年7月2日至8日黃金交易信號(XAU/USD):在3,325以上買入(21 SMA - 200 EMA)

黃金目前交易於3,346附近,從200 EMA及下降趨勢通道頂端反彈。這裡已成為支撐。

Dimitrios Zappas 18:58 2025-07-02 UTC+2

美元/日元:分析、預測及目前市場狀況

在4小時圖上,負向振盪指標顯示任何進一步的上行都可被視為賣出的機會。 從技術角度來看,4小時圖上的負向振盪指標表明,任何後續上行走勢可能被認為是賣出的機會。

Irina Yanina 18:48 2025-07-02 UTC+2

外匯預測 2025年7月2日:歐元/美元,美元/加元,英鎊/美元,石油和比特幣

實用連結: 我的其他文章在此區域可供查看 InstaForex 初學者課程 熱門分析 開立交易賬戶 重要提醒: 外匯交易的初學者在進入市場時需要非常謹慎。在重要報告發布之前,最好避開市場,以免因波動性增加而遭遇劇烈的市場波動。

Sebastian Seliga 12:12 2025-07-02 UTC+2

2025年7月2日歐元/美元匯率預測

週二,歐元/美元組合嘗試未能在1.1802水準之上站穩腳步。今天,若從這一水準反彈,將有利於美元,並朝向127.2%的斐波那契回調水準1.1712下滑。

Samir Klishi 11:07 2025-07-02 UTC+2

2025年7月2日英鎊/美元匯率預測

在小時圖上,GBP/USD 貨幣對於週二繼續上漲,儘管多頭略有回撤,使得匯價在1.3749的200.0%修正水平下方盤整。然而,這一賣出信號並未導致匯價下跌,因為空頭仍然沒有顯示出接管的意圖。

Samir Klishi 11:00 2025-07-02 UTC+2

2025年7月2日星期三,澳元/美元能否測試其最近的阻力位。

AUD/USD – 2025年7月2日,星期三 由於由於對於關稅戰的不確定性以及聯邦儲備局降息的推動,美元疲軟,從而提振了澳元/美元貨幣對。 關鍵水平 1. 阻力位 2:0.6614。

Arief Makmur 08:58 2025-07-02 UTC+2

儘管EUR/GBP有可能被修正,但在2025年7月2日(星期三)仍有再次走強的機會。

歐元/英鎊 – 2025年7月2日,星期三 歐元/英鎊有可能因歐洲央行(ECB)即將結束寬鬆政策而走強,而英國央行(BoE)繼續採取寬鬆政策,這可能導致英鎊走弱。 關鍵水平 1. 阻力位 2: 0.8619。

Arief Makmur 08:58 2025-07-02 UTC+2

2025年7月2日EUR/USD預測

歐元報價達到了X點。昨晚在周圖上,價格觸及了價格通道的上邊界和一條斐波納契射線,這一切都發生在第11個斐波納契時間邊界的結束時刻。

Laurie Bailey 05:12 2025-07-02 UTC+2

2025年7月2日GBP/USD預測

在日線圖上,Marlin 振盪器的信號線呈直線向下移動,忽略了120點的價格範圍。 這意味著該貨幣對正在自由漂移於1.3635至1.3834的目標範圍內。

Laurie Bailey 05:12 2025-07-02 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback