empty
02.02.2023 11:59 PM
The implications of the Fed press conference for the markets

This image is no longer relevant

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said policymakers expect a couple more interest rate hikes before suspending their aggressive tightening campaign, even as they slowed their efforts to rein in inflation.

Policymakers lifted the Fed's target for its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%. The smaller move followed a half-point increase in December and four giant hikes of 75 basis points before that.

Nevertheless, investors were receptive to the chair acknowledging that price pressures had begun to ease, even as he emphasized the Fed's outlook for further rate hikes. The S&P 500 closed more than 1% higher after his speech, and two-year yields fell sharply.

This image is no longer relevant

"We have covered a lot of ground," Powell told reporters after the meeting. "Even so, we have more work to do."

The Federal Open Market Committee's vote was unanimous.

"The Committee anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent over time." the Fed said in a statement issued after the two-day decision.

In a sign that the end of the rate hike cycle may be near, the Committee said that the "extent of future increases" would depend on a number of factors, including cumulative tightening of monetary policy. It had previously linked the "pace" of future hikes to these factors.

Gold rose 3000p during the session:

This image is no longer relevant

Powell added during his press conference:

"We've raised rates four and a half percentage points, and we're talking about a couple of more rate hikes to get to that level we think is appropriately restrictive," he said.

In another departure from its last statement, the Fed noted that inflation has "eased somewhat but remains elevated," indicating that policymakers are becoming more confident that price pressures have peaked.

That compares with previous language when officials simply said price increases were "elevated."

"The heavy lifting is done, but it doesn't mean the job is finished," said Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer in Washington. "He'll err on the side of hiking a bit more and staying there a bit longer. He stuck to his risk management story of not wanting to test if they can get away with doing fewer hikes."

EURUSD added 1,500p in the session, rewriting the top of the month:

This image is no longer relevant

The Fed did not release new forecasts on Wednesday, but Powell referred to those forecasts as a benchmark for how much higher officials expect rates to rise.

Initially dismissing price increases as temporary, Fed policymakers have struggled to get rampant inflation under control before it takes root in the economy, raising rates sharply from near-zero levels as recently as a year ago.

They are also shrinking the Fed's balance sheet at a record pace, taking hundreds of billions of dollars out of the financial system.

"It is gratifying to see the disinflationary process underway, with continued strong labor market," Powell said. Still, the chairman said officials will need "much more evidence" that inflation is on a steady downward trajectory.

Powell focused on the labor market as a source of potential inflationary pressure, arguing that "demand for workers far exceeds the supply of available workers, and nominal wages have been growing at a pace well above what would be consistent with 2 percent inflation over time."

Andrey Shevchenko,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Andrey Shevchenko
Start trade
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Análise e Previsão. O ouro é apoiado pela fraqueza moderada do dólar e pela incerteza relacionada com o comércio

Hoje, o ouro está em alta, mantendo-se dentro de uma tendência lateral. Na tarde de quinta-feira, Christopher Waller, membro da Reserva Federal, afirmou que os riscos crescentes para a economia

Irina Yanina 20:38 2025-07-18 UTC+2

Powell responde às críticas da Casa Branca

O presidente da Reserva Federal, Jerome Powell, tem enfrentado ultimamente uma pressão crescente, sendo alvo de críticas por parte dos legisladores, da Casa Branca e do presidente dos EUA, Donald

Jakub Novak 18:10 2025-07-18 UTC+2

O mercado mostra preferência por um dólar mais fraco

O que poderia ser melhor para o S&P 500 do que um corte nas taxas da Reserva Federal no meio de uma economia ainda forte? Uma série de dados positivos

Marek Petkovich 18:00 2025-07-18 UTC+2

O Banco Central Europeu pode adiar o corte de suas taxas até dezembro

Enquanto o euro tenta realizar uma correção em relação ao dólar americano, uma pesquisa com economistas sugere que o Banco Central Europeu pode adiar seu último corte na taxa

Jakub Novak 17:51 2025-07-18 UTC+2

Os EUA começam a regulamentar o mercado de moedas digitais (potencial para uma correção no Bitcoin e no EUR/USD)

A Câmara dos Deputados dos Estados Unidos aprovou projetos de lei que estabelecem a primeira estrutura federal para stablecoins lastreadas em dólares, além de definir regras para outras moedas digitais

Pati Gani 17:10 2025-07-18 UTC+2

AUD/USD. Análise e Previsão

Hoje, o par AUD/USD superou o nível psicológico chave de 0,6500, tentando confirmar o impulso positivo recente. O principal fator por trás da valorização do dólar australiano (conhecido como "Aussie")

Irina Yanina 14:30 2025-07-18 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Análise e previsão

Nesta sexta-feira, o par USD/CAD recua após atingir ontem uma máxima de três semanas, próxima de 1,3775. No momento, o preço é negociado ligeiramente abaixo de 1,3730, com uma queda

Irina Yanina 14:26 2025-07-18 UTC+2

EUR/JPY. Análise e previsão

Hoje, o par EUR/JPY está retomando o impulso positivo após a retração de ontem do nível 173,25, que agora marca a alta anual, e mantém o crescimento intradiário. Os preços

Irina Yanina 21:44 2025-07-17 UTC+2

Nem todos no Fed concordam com Powell

Dada a atual confusão dentro da Reserva Federal e a crescente pressão sobre o seu presidente Jerome Powell, nem todos os decisores políticos concordam que as taxas de juro devem

Jakub Novak 17:57 2025-07-17 UTC+2

O que está impedindo uma recuperação sólida no mercado de ações dos EUA? (O potencial de alta moderado para os contratos #SPX e #NDX continua presente)

O mercado de ações dos Estados Unidos segue em consolidação pela segunda semana consecutiva, em meio a sinais contraditórios que continuam a ditar o ritmo dos movimentos nos mercados acionários

Pati Gani 17:29 2025-07-17 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.